Markets and Economy
Read our latest market commentary on of-the-moment trends so you can make informed investment decisions
2025 Mid-Year Outlook: U.S. Stocks and Economy
The U.S. economy and stock market face a confluence of challenges in the second half of the year, keeping the bar relatively (but not restrictively) high for outperformance.
Mid-Year Outlook: International Stocks and Economy
Investors may revisit international exposure in their portfolios amidst reduced market reactions to tariff announcements, uncertain U.S. policy and lagging U.S. stock performance.
Fixed Income Outlook: Cool and Cloudy
Bouts of volatility may continue in the second half of 2025 as bond market investors navigate evolving tariff policy, U.S. government debt, and economic uncertainty.
Weekly Market Outlook
Chief Global Investment Strategist Jeffrey Kleintop's 90-second take on the markets for the week ahead.
Are Tariffs Over? Court Ruling Isn't the End
Trump's tariffs now face a legal battle. Tariffs may be less arbitrary and reduced in severity or duration, but the next steps are complicated and likely to extend uncertainty.
Credit Spreads: Under the Radar, but Influential
Corporate credit spreads, whether investment grade or high yield, can often hint at hiccups in the stock market and the economy. But they tend to keep a low profile.
No Hard Feelings: Soft vs. Hard Divide Persists
There is still a wide divergence between hard and soft data, and a recovery in the latter is likely to be weak absent a meaningful reduction in policy uncertainty.
Nvidia on Deck with Tariffs, Blackwell Sales Eyed
Nvidia, the biggest AI chip firm, reports Wednesday. Blackwell chip demand, tariffs, and guidance all could help determine how shares respond after a volatile two months.
Data Decoder: Deciphering Messages in Key Reports
A host of data influences the market, including jobs and GDP. Learn how savvy investors decipher their meaning and what they watch for beneath the surface.
Why International and Why Now
The shifting change in market leadership to international outperformance may call for a portfolio review to assess overexposure risks.