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US Market Commentary

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Schwab Market Update

Fed Speakers, Trump/Xi Meeting Dominate Week Ahead

Highlights this week include a host of Fed speakers who might provide more insight into last week's rate hike. Trump meets with Xi on Thursday, putting trade in focus.
September 21, 2026

Looking to the Futures

Crude oil futures (/CL) slipped Friday, with the front-month WTI contract falling back below $100 per barrel.
September 21, 2026
Schwab Market Update: Traffic light and Wall St. street sign.

Stocks Rise Early as Oil Prices, Yields Fall

Stocks rose in early trading as oil prices and Treasury yields fell and the AI trade regained its footing, with chipmakers gaining ground.
September 21, 2026
Schwab Market Update

Yields, Oil Still Directing Traffic as BOJ Meets

Thursday's rally, sparked by lower oil and yields, brought stocks to nearly even for the week. With data light today, the BOJ's rate decision and "triple witching" are in focus.
September 18, 2026
The Schwab Market Update weekly digest offers a summary of news items from the past week.

Yields Hit 5%, Rates Hiked, as AI Fervor Cools

Stocks tread water as the Fed tightens and the 10-year yield hits 5%, AI and chip shares slump with earnings weeks away, and crypto takes a stalled bill in stride.
September 18, 2026

Schwab Market Perspective

Our point of view on recent market and economic activity.
September 18, 2026

Weekly Trader's Outlook

Stocks are on track for weekly losses following a relatively hawkish FOMC meeting, higher yields and ongoing attacks in the Middle East which are keeping oil prices elevated.
September 18, 2026
Schwab Market Update

Markets Digest Rate Hike Amid Light Earnings Slate

Investors will continue to digest the implications of the Fed's first rate hike in more than three years today, while geopolitical tensions, yields, and oil prices remain in focus.
September 17, 2026

Fed Hikes in 12-0 Vote, Commits to Inflation Fight

Fed policymakers unanimously voted to raise rates 25 basis points, the first hike since 2023, and vowed to fight inflation. Another hike is seen this year, but 2027 is in question.
September 16, 2026
Schwab Market Update

Fed Decision Awaited with Hike Odds Seen Above 90%

The Fed rate decision is today at 2 p.m. ET, and futures trading puts hike odds above 90%. It would be the first since 2023. Yields hit 19-year highs Tuesday and oil rose again.
September 16, 2026
Schwab Market Update

Fed Awaited After Yields Top 5%, Oil Spins Higher

Tomorrow is expected to bring the first Federal Reserve rate hike since 2023. Oil spiked and tech stocks stumbled Monday amid AI slowdown fears. The 10-year yield topped 5%.
September 15, 2026

European Stocks: Reasons to Reconsider

European equities may have support from global growth, improving fundamentals, lower relative valuations, and fiscal spending—plus diversification from the AI cycle.
September 14, 2026
A multi-colored illustration of different line graphs undulating back and forth, but generally pointing higher, along the same scale.

The MOVE Index and Why It Might Matter

The MOVE Index, a.k.a. the "VIX of bonds," helps investors track volatility across U.S. Treasuries. Sometimes, it can signal future action in equities.
September 9, 2026

Take a Hike: Rate Hikes and Market Impacts

History suggests slower Fed tightening tends to support stronger market returns and firmer economic growth, while faster hikes typically deepen drawdowns.
September 9, 2026

Buy, Hold, Sell: What Analyst Stock Ratings Mean

Research analysts assign buy, sell, hold, and other ratings to stocks in their research reports. Here's what these stock ratings mean, and how investors can use them.
September 8, 2026

Sector Views: Monthly Stock Sector Outlook

Our outlook on the 11 S&P 500 equity sectors.
September 4, 2026
An illustration of a woman blowing a huge bubble containing a dollar sign.

What Is a Market Bubble?

Famous market bubbles share some characteristics, but it's nearly impossible to predict how big a bubble might get and when one is about to burst.
September 3, 2026

Songs of Experience: Reminiscences of a Strategist

It's been 40 years since I began my career on Wall Street and the lessons I learned along the way from some all-time investment greats always hold true.
September 3, 2026
An image showing rising interest rates impact on options prices, with a call placard shown rising, while a put placard is shown falling. Rising rates benefit call values but hurt put values.

How Interest Rate Movements Affect Options Prices

Interest rates have an important effect on options prices, especially when rates are high. The options greek rho measures the impact of rates and can help when evaluating options.
August 27, 2026
Cartoon illustration of a soft pillow gradually falling through the air but making a sudden, hard collision with the ground upon landing.

Hard-Hitting 'Soft' Data: Why Surveys Matter

'Soft' reports like sentiment and confidence don't reflect 'hard' data like GDP or CPI. Still, they can affect markets and come with various strengths and weaknesses to consider.
August 25, 2026

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